Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.6% vs 52.4%). Look for Goc on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.5% vs Goc 52.3% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Goc 50.9%
Defensive zone
Lowry 63.4%
Neutral zone
Lowry 59.4%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 53.8%
53.8%
46.2%
Lowry
Goc
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Lowry
Goc
Last 6: Lowry 1-5 Goc
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Goc
1
3
Lowry
Goc
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Goc
0
2
Lowry
Goc
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Goc
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (9,130)
53.0% (3,301)
-0.2%
Power Play
57.1% (455)
58.0% (314)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (2,139)
47.4% (728)
-2.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Goc shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,740).
Lowry shoots left. Goc is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,768).
Home / Away
Lowry
Goc
Home
53.5% (5,893)
53.9% (2,079)
Away
49.6% (5,831)
51.0% (2,296)
By Period
Lowry
Goc
P1
51.5%
51.9%
P2
51.8%
53.1%
P3
51.4%
52.4%
OT
46.3%
44.9%
Final 5 min
52.9%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.6%
Goc
52.0%▼
55.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2015 | 1 | 01:48 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 27, 2015 | 3 | 15:08 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |
| Jan 27, 2015 | 3 | 04:30 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |
| Jan 27, 2015 | 2 | 05:48 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |
| Jan 27, 2015 | 1 | 04:47 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Nov 6, 2014 | 3 | 07:35 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |