Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Lowry wins 53.5% vs right-shot opponents — Necas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.4% vs Necas 46.0% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Necas 73.3%
Defensive zone
Lowry 81.0%
Neutral zone
Lowry 52.2%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 58.1%
58.1%
41.9%
Lowry
Necas
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Lowry
Necas
Last 6: Lowry 3-3 Necas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Necas
0
2
Lowry
Necas
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
1
Lowry
Necas
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Necas
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Necas
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (893)
44.5% (339)
+8.2%
Power Play
52.8% (72)
47.4% (57)
+5.4%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (215)
47.6% (21)
-7.6%
On even strength, Lowry has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Necas shoots right. Lowry is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (430).
Lowry shoots left. Necas is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (330).
Home / Away
Lowry
Necas
Home
52.4% (597)
44.8% (203)
Away
48.4% (583)
45.3% (214)
By Period
Lowry
Necas
P1
48.5%
46.8%
P2
52.2%
40.0%
P3
50.5%
50.0%
OT
50.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
49.4%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.4%
Necas
36.0%▼
38.0%
45.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2023 | 3 | 14:10 | Offensive | Martin Necas |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 2 | 16:59 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 2 | 13:10 | Defensive | Martin Necas |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 3 | 11:08 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 1 | 19:25 | Offensive | Martin Necas |