Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.2% vs 46.4%). Look for Louis on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 47.5% vs Louis 48.1% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Louis 53.5%
Defensive zone
Lowry 60.4%
Neutral zone
Lowry 52.9%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Lowry
Louis
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Lowry
Louis
Last 6: Lowry 4-2 Louis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Louis
1
2
Lowry
Louis
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Louis
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
Louis
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Louis
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (783)
45.1% (91)
+1.9%
Power Play
57.1% (28)
52.6% (19)
+4.5%
On power play, Lowry has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Louis shoots left. Lowry is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (575).
Lowry shoots left. Louis is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (84).
Home / Away
Lowry
Louis
Home
49.2% (425)
50.0% (70)
Away
45.3% (426)
40.0% (40)
By Period
Lowry
Louis
P1
53.6%
50.0%
P2
39.8%
44.2%
P3
48.5%
46.2%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
52.0%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
47.2%
Louis
44.0%▲
42.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2014 | 2 | 12:18 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 1, 2014 | 2 | 07:12 | Offensive | Martin St. Louis |
| Nov 1, 2014 | 2 | 07:10 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 1, 2014 | 1 | 16:56 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 1, 2014 | 1 | 14:52 | Offensive | Martin St. Louis |
| Nov 1, 2014 | 1 | 14:41 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |