Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Louis on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.5% vs Louis 43.2% (+9.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 51.6%
Defensive zone
Lowry 94.2%
Neutral zone
Lowry 87.5%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 70.7%
70.7%
29.3%
Lowry
Louis
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Lowry
Louis
Last 6: Lowry 4-2 Louis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Louis
1
2
Lowry
Louis
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Louis
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
Louis
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Louis
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (8,914)
43.1% (415)
+9.7%
Power Play
57.0% (453)
33.3% (42)
+23.7%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (2,120)
31.6% (19)
+13.4%
On power play, Lowry has a +23.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Louis shoots left. Lowry is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (7,585).
Lowry shoots left. Louis is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Home / Away
Lowry
Louis
Home
53.4% (5,759)
45.0% (262)
Away
49.6% (5,728)
37.7% (215)
By Period
Lowry
Louis
P1
51.5%
45.2%
P2
51.7%
40.6%
P3
51.3%
39.3%
OT
47.8%
47.1%
Final 5 min
52.7%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
68.0%▲
55.5%
51.5%
Louis
44.0%▲
42.5%
41.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2014 | 2 | 12:18 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 1, 2014 | 2 | 07:12 | Offensive | Martin St. Louis |
| Nov 1, 2014 | 2 | 07:10 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 1, 2014 | 1 | 16:56 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 1, 2014 | 1 | 14:52 | Offensive | Martin St. Louis |
| Nov 1, 2014 | 1 | 14:41 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |