Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Lowry wins 60.4% vs right-shot opponents — Wood shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.4% vs Wood 46.2% (+10.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wood 51.6%
Defensive zone
Lowry 90.6%
Neutral zone
Lowry 79.1%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 71.9%
71.9%
28.1%
Lowry
Wood
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Lowry
Wood
Last 8: Lowry 5-3 Wood
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wood
1
2
Lowry
Wood
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
0
Lowry
Wood
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Wood
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Wood
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (675)
43.2% (111)
+12.2%
Power Play
83.3% (6)
41.7% (12)
+41.6%
On power play, Lowry has a +41.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wood shoots right. Lowry is 60.4% vs right-shot opponents (227).
Lowry shoots left. Wood is 38.3% vs left-shot opponents (94).
Home / Away
Lowry
Wood
Home
54.5% (402)
43.8% (48)
Away
53.3% (368)
42.7% (75)
By Period
Lowry
Wood
P1
52.4%
43.8%
P2
56.0%
54.3%
P3
54.2%
28.9%
OT
40.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
58.1%
61.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.9%
Wood
38.0%▼
42.9%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | OT | 03:37 | Offensive | Matthew Wood |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 3 | 14:01 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 3 | 10:45 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 3 | 06:51 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 3 | 01:38 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 2 | 12:12 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 1 | 03:16 | Offensive | Matthew Wood |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 07:53 | Neutral | Matthew Wood |