Scouting Report
Mikhail Grigorenko holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.8% vs Grigorenko 55.1% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Grigorenko 60.3%
Defensive zone
Lowry 77.6%
Neutral zone
Lowry 60.1%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 56.8%
56.8%
43.2%
Lowry
Grigorenko
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Lowry
Grigorenko
Last 7: Lowry 3-4 Grigorenko
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Grigorenko
0
2
Lowry
Grigorenko
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Grigorenko
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Lowry
Grigorenko
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Grigorenko
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (936)
54.8% (157)
-3.4%
Power Play
54.1% (85)
40.0% (5)
+14.1%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (274)
76.7% (30)
-28.9%
On penalty kill, Grigorenko has a +28.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Grigorenko shoots left. Lowry is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (828).
Lowry shoots left. Grigorenko is 57.8% vs left-shot opponents (116).
Home / Away
Lowry
Grigorenko
Home
52.9% (680)
64.4% (118)
Away
48.5% (615)
47.3% (74)
By Period
Lowry
Grigorenko
P1
51.5%
54.2%
P2
51.5%
55.6%
P3
49.3%
63.9%
Final 5 min
50.0%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.8%
Grigorenko
54.0%▼
55.5%
57.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2017 | 1 | 01:37 | Offensive | Mikhail Grigorenko |
| Nov 11, 2016 | 3 | 07:31 | Neutral | Mikhail Grigorenko |
| Nov 11, 2016 | 2 | 16:07 | Offensive | Mikhail Grigorenko |
| Nov 11, 2016 | 2 | 16:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 11, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 11, 2016 | 1 | 06:02 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 11, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikhail Grigorenko |