Adam Lowry vs Mikhail Grigorenko
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Grigorenko on neutral-zone draws (56% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.5% vs Grigorenko 46.8% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Grigorenko leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Grigorenko 73.3%
Defensive zone
Lowry 72.0%
Neutral zone
Grigorenko 53.3%
Result
Mikhail Grigorenko favored at 55.3%
44.7%
55.3%
Lowry
Grigorenko
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
8
(15 meetings)
7
8
Lowry
Grigorenko
Last 10: Lowry 4-6 Grigorenko
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Lowry
Grigorenko
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Grigorenko
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Grigorenko
4
5
Lowry
Grigorenko
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Grigorenko
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (9,130)
45.3% (1,033)
+7.5%
Power Play
57.1% (455)
56.0% (50)
+1.1%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (2,139)
58.5% (65)
-13.6%
On penalty kill, Grigorenko has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Grigorenko shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,740).
Lowry shoots left. Grigorenko is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (723).
Home / Away
Lowry
Grigorenko
Home
53.5% (5,893)
51.1% (567)
Away
49.6% (5,831)
42.0% (581)
By Period
Lowry
Grigorenko
P1
51.5%
43.8%
P2
51.8%
47.1%
P3
51.4%
48.7%
OT
46.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
52.9%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.6%
Grigorenko
54.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2017 | 1 | 01:37 | Offensive | Mikhail Grigorenko |
| Nov 11, 2016 | 3 | 07:31 | Neutral | Mikhail Grigorenko |
| Nov 11, 2016 | 2 | 16:07 | Offensive | Mikhail Grigorenko |
| Nov 11, 2016 | 2 | 16:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 11, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 11, 2016 | 1 | 06:02 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 11, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikhail Grigorenko |
| Dec 16, 2014 | 2 | 14:17 | Neutral | Mikhail Grigorenko |
| Dec 16, 2014 | 2 | 09:31 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 16, 2014 | 2 | 04:23 | Defensive | Mikhail Grigorenko |
| Dec 16, 2014 | 2 | 04:12 | Neutral | Mikhail Grigorenko |
| Dec 16, 2014 | 2 | 04:04 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 16, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 16, 2014 | 1 | 07:05 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 16, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikhail Grigorenko |