Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.9% vs 56.4%). Lowry wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Thompson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 55.1% vs Thompson 55.6% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 54.3%
Defensive zone
Thompson 51.9%
Neutral zone
Lowry 60.5%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Lowry
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Lowry
Thompson
Last 5: Lowry 2-3 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
Thompson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
2
Lowry
Thompson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Lowry
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
59.0% (527)
57.7% (482)
+1.3%
Power Play
44.2% (43)
100.0% (2)
-55.8%
Penalty Kill
44.6% (101)
51.9% (154)
-7.3%
On power play, Thompson has a +55.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Lowry is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (401).
Lowry shoots left. Thompson is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (401).
Home / Away
Lowry
Thompson
Home
57.9% (330)
59.0% (327)
Away
54.0% (341)
53.7% (311)
By Period
Lowry
Thompson
P1
55.8%
54.2%
P2
55.8%
61.3%
P3
56.1%
53.9%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
62.2%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
55.9%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
56.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2018 | 2 | 11:02 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 20, 2018 | 2 | 10:37 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 20, 2018 | 2 | 05:43 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 3, 2017 | 3 | 04:55 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 3, 2017 | 1 | 02:06 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |