Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 52.7% vs Thompson 54.3% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 68.3%
Defensive zone
Lowry 63.5%
Neutral zone
Lowry 61.5%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 62.5%
62.5%
37.5%
Lowry
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Lowry
Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
2
Lowry
Thompson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Thompson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (796)
55.5% (236)
+0.3%
Power Play
54.7% (53)
60.0% (5)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (215)
56.5% (46)
-14.2%
On penalty kill, Thompson has a +14.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Lowry is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (672).
Lowry shoots left. Thompson is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (199).
Home / Away
Lowry
Thompson
Home
53.4% (515)
53.1% (128)
Away
52.6% (549)
57.9% (159)
By Period
Lowry
Thompson
P1
54.2%
59.0%
P2
54.4%
55.4%
P3
50.8%
52.6%
Final 5 min
54.2%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.0%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2022 | 2 | 05:52 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 27, 2022 | 2 | 03:06 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 27, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 27, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |