Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on neutral-zone draws (68% H2H, 22 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.5% vs Bonino 50.0% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 35-25 in 60 meetings
Offensive zone
Bonino 52.6%
Defensive zone
Lowry 67.9%
Neutral zone
Lowry 60.9%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 59.5%
59.5%
40.5%
Lowry
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
35
-
25
(60 meetings)
35
25
Lowry
Bonino
Last 10: Lowry 7-3 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
10
7
Lowry
Bonino
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
10
11
Lowry
Bonino
21 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
15
7
Lowry
Bonino
22 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (9,130)
50.6% (8,315)
+2.2%
Power Play
57.1% (455)
54.1% (972)
+3.0%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (2,139)
44.6% (1,693)
+0.3%
On power play, Lowry has a +3.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,740).
Lowry shoots left. Bonino is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,917).
Home / Away
Lowry
Bonino
Home
53.5% (5,893)
51.2% (5,507)
Away
49.6% (5,831)
48.8% (5,480)
By Period
Lowry
Bonino
P1
51.5%
50.6%
P2
51.8%
48.5%
P3
51.4%
51.1%
OT
46.3%
45.7%
Final 5 min
52.9%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.6%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2021 | 3 | 05:27 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 3 | 12:30 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 2 | 02:26 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 1 | 05:09 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 1 | 05:04 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 2 | 15:41 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 2 | 11:59 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 2 | 05:51 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 1 | 17:35 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 1 | 00:31 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 12, 2020 | 3 | 13:45 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 12, 2020 | 3 | 05:23 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 12, 2020 | 2 | 16:22 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 12, 2020 | 1 | 19:58 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 12, 2020 | 1 | 19:53 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 3 | 08:14 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 3 | 03:02 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 17, 2019 | 3 | 08:00 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |