Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 52.7% vs Bonino 51.2% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Lowry 57.6%
Defensive zone
Lowry 62.6%
Neutral zone
Lowry 61.8%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 61.1%
61.1%
38.9%
Lowry
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
3
(12 meetings)
9
3
Lowry
Bonino
Last 10: Lowry 7-3 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
0
Lowry
Bonino
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
2
Lowry
Bonino
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
1
Lowry
Bonino
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (796)
51.7% (777)
+4.1%
Power Play
54.7% (53)
60.0% (50)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (215)
43.9% (98)
-1.6%
On power play, Bonino has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Lowry is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (672).
Lowry shoots left. Bonino is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (629).
Home / Away
Lowry
Bonino
Home
53.4% (515)
48.2% (461)
Away
52.6% (549)
54.5% (464)
By Period
Lowry
Bonino
P1
54.2%
54.1%
P2
54.4%
49.7%
P3
50.8%
50.7%
OT
37.5%
40.0%
Final 5 min
54.2%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.0%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2021 | 3 | 05:27 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 3 | 12:30 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 2 | 02:26 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 1 | 05:09 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 1 | 05:04 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 2 | 15:41 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 2 | 11:59 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 2 | 05:51 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 1 | 17:35 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 1 | 00:31 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |