Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.6% vs 51.0%). Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.5% vs Patrick 51.0% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Patrick 54.9%
Defensive zone
Lowry 84.2%
Neutral zone
Lowry 62.6%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 67.8%
67.8%
32.2%
Lowry
Patrick
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
5
(14 meetings)
9
5
Lowry
Patrick
Last 10: Lowry 6-4 Patrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Patrick
0
2
Lowry
Patrick
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
5
0
Lowry
Patrick
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
4
3
Lowry
Patrick
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Patrick
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (9,130)
50.6% (1,978)
+2.2%
Power Play
57.1% (455)
57.5% (120)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (2,139)
57.7% (26)
-12.8%
On penalty kill, Patrick has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Patrick shoots right. Lowry is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,984).
Lowry shoots left. Patrick is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,441).
Home / Away
Lowry
Patrick
Home
53.5% (5,893)
49.7% (1,106)
Away
49.6% (5,831)
52.5% (1,018)
By Period
Lowry
Patrick
P1
51.5%
52.9%
P2
51.8%
49.1%
P3
51.4%
51.3%
OT
46.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
52.9%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.6%
Patrick
36.0%▼
49.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2022 | 3 | 15:39 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 2 | 09:04 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 2 | 06:04 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 2 | 02:17 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 2 | 02:00 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 28, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Dec 9, 2018 | 2 | 15:59 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 9, 2018 | 2 | 08:17 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 9, 2018 | 1 | 14:36 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 1 | 19:52 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 1 | 06:57 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 1 | 03:47 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 1 | 03:41 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 1 | 03:19 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |