Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Lowry wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Patrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 52.7% vs Patrick 48.9% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Patrick 58.0%
Defensive zone
Lowry 79.8%
Neutral zone
Lowry 65.9%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 66.7%
66.7%
33.3%
Lowry
Patrick
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Lowry
Patrick
Last 5: Lowry 3-2 Patrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Patrick
0
1
Lowry
Patrick
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
Patrick
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Patrick
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Patrick
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (796)
47.4% (156)
+8.4%
Power Play
54.7% (53)
56.3% (16)
-1.6%
On even strength, Lowry has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Patrick shoots right. Lowry is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (392).
Lowry shoots left. Patrick is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (112).
Home / Away
Lowry
Patrick
Home
53.4% (515)
43.8% (96)
Away
52.6% (549)
53.9% (76)
By Period
Lowry
Patrick
P1
54.2%
44.4%
P2
54.4%
45.6%
P3
50.8%
56.0%
Final 5 min
54.2%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.0%
Patrick
36.0%▼
49.5%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2022 | 3 | 15:39 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 2 | 09:04 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 2 | 06:04 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 2 | 02:17 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 2 | 02:00 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |