Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Lowry wins 54.8% vs right-shot opponents — Patrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 55.1% vs Patrick 50.5% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 51.0%
Defensive zone
Lowry 83.9%
Neutral zone
Lowry 80.3%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 75.9%
75.9%
24.1%
Lowry
Patrick
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Lowry
Patrick
Last 5: Lowry 4-1 Patrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Patrick
0
1
Lowry
Patrick
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
Patrick
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
Patrick
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Patrick
Edge
Even Strength
59.0% (527)
50.6% (719)
+8.4%
Power Play
44.2% (43)
50.0% (22)
-5.8%
Penalty Kill
44.6% (101)
50.0% (2)
-5.4%
On even strength, Lowry has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Patrick shoots right. Lowry is 54.8% vs right-shot opponents (270).
Lowry shoots left. Patrick is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (513).
Home / Away
Lowry
Patrick
Home
57.9% (330)
50.1% (391)
Away
54.0% (341)
51.1% (352)
By Period
Lowry
Patrick
P1
55.8%
54.4%
P2
55.8%
49.3%
P3
56.1%
47.5%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
62.2%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
55.9%
Patrick
36.0%▼
49.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2017 | 1 | 19:52 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 1 | 06:57 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 1 | 03:47 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 1 | 03:41 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 1 | 03:19 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |