Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.6% vs 50.7%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.5% vs Bäck 50.5% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bäck 50.7%
Defensive zone
Lowry 68.7%
Neutral zone
Lowry 60.1%
Result
Oskar Bäck favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Lowry
Bäck
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Lowry
Bäck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Bäck
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Bäck
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (9,130)
54.8% (186)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (2,139)
31.7% (41)
+13.2%
On penalty kill, Lowry has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bäck shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,740).
Lowry shoots left. Bäck is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
Lowry
Bäck
Home
53.5% (5,893)
52.4% (103)
Away
49.6% (5,831)
49.2% (124)
By Period
Lowry
Bäck
P1
51.5%
51.5%
P2
51.8%
50.0%
P3
51.4%
50.8%
Final 5 min
52.9%
44.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.6%
Bäck
44.0%▼
52.0%
50.7%