Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.8% vs 52.0%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Bäck 51.3% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bäck 56.7%
Defensive zone
Lowry 70.0%
Neutral zone
Lowry 59.1%
Result
Oskar Bäck favored at 56.7%
43.3%
56.7%
Lowry
Bäck
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Lowry
Bäck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Bäck
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Bäck
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (933)
55.9% (143)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (227)
33.3% (30)
+9.4%
On penalty kill, Lowry has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bäck shoots left. Lowry is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (840).
Lowry shoots left. Bäck is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (93).
Home / Away
Lowry
Bäck
Home
53.0% (583)
47.6% (82)
Away
50.6% (605)
56.0% (91)
By Period
Lowry
Bäck
P1
52.1%
54.3%
P2
51.8%
48.1%
P3
52.3%
56.0%
Final 5 min
53.9%
46.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.8%
Bäck
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.0%