Scouting Report
Patrick Brown holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Lowry wins 53.5% vs right-shot opponents — Brown shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.4% vs Brown 51.9% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 56.5%
Defensive zone
Lowry 57.7%
Neutral zone
Lowry 56.2%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 56.8%
56.8%
43.2%
Lowry
Brown
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Lowry
Brown
Last 6: Lowry 2-4 Brown
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Brown
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brown
0
2
Lowry
Brown
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Brown
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Brown
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (893)
52.8% (284)
-0.1%
Power Play
52.8% (72)
75.0% (4)
-22.2%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (215)
49.0% (51)
-9.0%
On power play, Brown has a +22.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brown shoots right. Lowry is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (430).
Lowry shoots left. Brown is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (237).
Home / Away
Lowry
Brown
Home
52.4% (597)
53.5% (144)
Away
48.4% (583)
51.8% (195)
By Period
Lowry
Brown
P1
48.5%
49.0%
P2
52.2%
48.7%
P3
50.5%
58.6%
Final 5 min
49.4%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.4%
Brown
44.0%▼
48.5%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 19:14 | Defensive | Patrick Brown |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 13:15 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 1 | 11:34 | Offensive | Patrick Brown |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 1 | 07:45 | Defensive | Patrick Brown |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrick Brown |