Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Byfield 44.6% (+7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Byfield 61.8%
Defensive zone
Lowry 80.1%
Neutral zone
Lowry 66.8%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 69.5%
69.5%
30.5%
Lowry
Byfield
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Lowry
Byfield
Last 9: Lowry 5-4 Byfield
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Byfield
0
1
Lowry
Byfield
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Byfield
1
3
Lowry
Byfield
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
4
0
Lowry
Byfield
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Byfield
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (933)
44.5% (853)
+9.2%
Power Play
60.7% (28)
42.9% (21)
+17.8%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (227)
38.2% (68)
+4.5%
On power play, Lowry has a +17.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Byfield shoots left. Lowry is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (840).
Lowry shoots left. Byfield is 43.7% vs left-shot opponents (629).
Home / Away
Lowry
Byfield
Home
53.0% (583)
43.8% (502)
Away
50.6% (605)
44.3% (440)
By Period
Lowry
Byfield
P1
52.1%
44.2%
P2
51.8%
43.0%
P3
52.3%
45.0%
OT
25.0%
46.2%
Final 5 min
53.9%
40.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.8%
Byfield
66.0%▲
56.0%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2025 | 3 | 07:23 | Offensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 2 | 14:16 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 3 | 03:46 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 17:04 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 2 | 08:20 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 04:23 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |