Scouting Report
Rasmus Kupari holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Lowry wins 53.5% vs right-shot opponents — Kupari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.4% vs Kupari 53.7% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kupari 84.9%
Defensive zone
Lowry 64.3%
Neutral zone
Kupari 55.1%
Result
Rasmus Kupari favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Lowry
Kupari
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Lowry
Kupari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Kupari
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Kupari
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Kupari
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Kupari
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (893)
53.6% (379)
-0.9%
Power Play
52.8% (72)
66.7% (6)
-13.9%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (215)
72.2% (18)
-32.2%
On penalty kill, Kupari has a +32.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kupari shoots right. Lowry is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (430).
Lowry shoots left. Kupari is 58.5% vs left-shot opponents (289).
Home / Away
Lowry
Kupari
Home
52.4% (597)
55.5% (245)
Away
48.4% (583)
53.2% (158)
By Period
Lowry
Kupari
P1
48.5%
58.8%
P2
52.2%
47.8%
P3
50.5%
57.4%
Final 5 min
49.4%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.4%
Kupari
48.0%▼
51.5%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2023 | 3 | 19:54 | Defensive | Rasmus Kupari |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 3 | 19:48 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 2 | 01:46 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |