Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.0% vs 53.3%). Look for Getzlaf on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Lowry wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Getzlaf shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 52.7% vs Getzlaf 53.0% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Getzlaf leads 8-8 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Getzlaf 62.4%
Defensive zone
Lowry 64.4%
Neutral zone
Lowry 57.4%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 55.5%
55.5%
44.5%
Lowry
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
8
(16 meetings)
8
8
Lowry
Getzlaf
Last 10: Lowry 3-7 Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
1
3
Lowry
Getzlaf
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
4
3
Lowry
Getzlaf
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
2
Lowry
Getzlaf
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (796)
52.5% (772)
+3.3%
Power Play
54.7% (53)
60.8% (153)
-6.1%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (215)
48.0% (100)
-5.7%
On power play, Getzlaf has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. Lowry is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (392).
Lowry shoots left. Getzlaf is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (803).
Home / Away
Lowry
Getzlaf
Home
53.4% (515)
56.0% (557)
Away
52.6% (549)
50.0% (468)
By Period
Lowry
Getzlaf
P1
54.2%
52.2%
P2
54.4%
53.0%
P3
50.8%
54.9%
OT
37.5%
46.7%
Final 5 min
54.2%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.0%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
53.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2021 | 3 | 12:49 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Oct 26, 2021 | 3 | 10:53 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 26, 2021 | 3 | 01:39 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Oct 26, 2021 | 2 | 11:47 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 26, 2021 | 2 | 08:19 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 26, 2021 | 2 | 05:04 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Oct 26, 2021 | 1 | 06:37 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Oct 26, 2021 | 1 | 01:21 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 3 | 16:58 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 1 | 07:23 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 1 | 01:17 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 3 | 09:46 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 2 | 11:46 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 2 | 11:25 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 1 | 19:10 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 1 | 13:20 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |