Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on offensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Couturier 55.6% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Couturier leads 8-8 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Couturier 77.6%
Defensive zone
Lowry 76.4%
Neutral zone
Lowry 56.0%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Lowry
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
8
(16 meetings)
8
8
Lowry
Couturier
Last 10: Lowry 5-5 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
3
4
Lowry
Couturier
7 total
Defensive Zone
Even
4
4
Lowry
Couturier
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Couturier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (933)
55.1% (1,008)
-1.4%
Power Play
60.7% (28)
64.1% (142)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (227)
53.3% (45)
-10.6%
On penalty kill, Couturier has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Lowry is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (840).
Lowry shoots left. Couturier is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (790).
Home / Away
Lowry
Couturier
Home
53.0% (583)
58.1% (609)
Away
50.6% (605)
53.9% (586)
By Period
Lowry
Couturier
P1
52.1%
55.3%
P2
51.8%
55.8%
P3
52.3%
57.4%
OT
25.0%
45.0%
Final 5 min
53.9%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.8%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2025 | 3 | 16:55 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 3 | 16:47 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 3 | 05:21 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 3 | 00:42 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 2 | 19:53 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 2 | 13:51 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 2 | 08:47 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 15:21 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 15:13 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 06:35 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 01:25 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 01:08 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 1, 2025 | OT | 01:46 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 19:52 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 19:29 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 07:50 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |