Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Lowry wins 60.4% vs right-shot opponents — Pinto shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.4% vs Pinto 50.7% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 56.8%
Defensive zone
Lowry 56.3%
Neutral zone
Lowry 70.9%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 56.6%
56.6%
43.4%
Lowry
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Lowry
Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Pinto
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Pinto
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (675)
50.2% (520)
+5.2%
Power Play
83.3% (6)
68.0% (25)
+15.3%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (89)
49.4% (89)
-9.0%
On power play, Lowry has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Lowry is 60.4% vs right-shot opponents (227).
Lowry shoots left. Pinto is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (460).
Home / Away
Lowry
Pinto
Home
54.5% (402)
48.8% (301)
Away
53.3% (368)
52.6% (333)
By Period
Lowry
Pinto
P1
52.4%
51.2%
P2
56.0%
48.9%
P3
54.2%
53.3%
OT
40.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
58.1%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.9%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 19:18 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 07:43 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |