Scouting Report
Shane Pinto holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Pinto on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 49.1% vs Pinto 50.5% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pinto 60.1%
Defensive zone
Lowry 69.5%
Neutral zone
Lowry 50.4%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Lowry
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Lowry
Pinto
Last 8: Lowry 4-4 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Pinto
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Pinto
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pinto
2
3
Lowry
Pinto
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (1,064)
51.2% (463)
-1.9%
Power Play
67.7% (65)
50.0% (14)
+17.7%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (251)
36.8% (19)
+5.8%
On power play, Lowry has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Lowry is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (412).
Lowry shoots left. Pinto is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Lowry
Pinto
Home
50.2% (671)
52.2% (205)
Away
47.8% (709)
49.5% (291)
By Period
Lowry
Pinto
P1
48.4%
48.7%
P2
50.1%
51.8%
P3
47.8%
51.2%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.8%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
49.0%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 14:14 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 09:53 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 09:48 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 12:36 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 16:53 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 02:50 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |