Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.4% vs Meier 47.2% (+9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Meier 78.3%
Defensive zone
Lowry 76.2%
Neutral zone
Meier 55.0%
Result
Timo Meier favored at 78.3%
21.7%
78.3%
Lowry
Meier
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Lowry
Meier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Meier
0
1
Lowry
Meier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Meier
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (675)
40.9% (93)
+14.5%
Power Play
83.3% (6)
60.9% (23)
+22.4%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (89)
50.0% (2)
-9.6%
On power play, Lowry has a +22.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Meier shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (543).
Lowry shoots left. Meier is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (72).
Home / Away
Lowry
Meier
Home
54.5% (402)
40.4% (57)
Away
53.3% (368)
49.2% (61)
By Period
Lowry
Meier
P1
52.4%
32.6%
P2
56.0%
50.0%
P3
54.2%
59.1%
Final 5 min
58.1%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.9%
Meier
46.0%▲
44.5%
44.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2026 | 1 | 15:04 | Offensive | Timo Meier |