Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.3% vs Bozak 54.3% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bozak 58.3%
Defensive zone
Lowry 66.9%
Neutral zone
Lowry 64.9%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 58.5%
58.5%
41.5%
Lowry
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Lowry
Bozak
Last 6: Lowry 2-4 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Bozak
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
3
Lowry
Bozak
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (491)
57.3% (483)
-1.1%
Power Play
66.7% (18)
57.5% (73)
+9.2%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (140)
42.3% (104)
+1.3%
On power play, Lowry has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Lowry is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (221).
Lowry shoots left. Bozak is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (485).
Home / Away
Lowry
Bozak
Home
57.8% (341)
57.8% (332)
Away
49.4% (308)
52.1% (328)
By Period
Lowry
Bozak
P1
53.2%
52.7%
P2
54.4%
55.6%
P3
53.0%
56.7%
OT
80.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
58.5%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.8%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2019 | 2 | 04:53 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 29, 2019 | 2 | 01:37 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 29, 2019 | 1 | 01:34 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 2 | 02:08 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 1 | 14:02 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 1 | 13:43 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |