Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Lowry wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 52.7% vs Bozak 46.2% (+7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 65.4%
Defensive zone
Lowry 87.3%
Neutral zone
Lowry 83.1%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 79.7%
79.7%
20.3%
Lowry
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Lowry
Bozak
Last 8: Lowry 6-2 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Bozak
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
Bozak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
1
Lowry
Bozak
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (796)
46.7% (338)
+9.1%
Power Play
54.7% (53)
50.0% (6)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (215)
32.6% (43)
+9.7%
On penalty kill, Lowry has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Lowry is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (392).
Lowry shoots left. Bozak is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (247).
Home / Away
Lowry
Bozak
Home
53.4% (515)
47.9% (194)
Away
52.6% (549)
42.5% (193)
By Period
Lowry
Bozak
P1
54.2%
40.2%
P2
54.4%
51.4%
P3
50.8%
43.1%
OT
37.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.2%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.0%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2022 | 3 | 06:30 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 2 | 09:18 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 2 | 08:26 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 2 | 07:57 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 19, 2021 | 2 | 16:47 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 19, 2021 | 1 | 05:29 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 19, 2021 | 1 | 02:59 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 3 | 00:56 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |