Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +19.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 47.5% vs Graovac 45.9% (+19.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 65.8%
Defensive zone
Lowry 74.2%
Neutral zone
Lowry 64.6%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 70.6%
70.6%
29.4%
Lowry
Graovac
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Lowry
Graovac
Last 5: Lowry 4-1 Graovac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Graovac
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
1
Lowry
Graovac
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Graovac
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Graovac
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (783)
27.3% (22)
+19.7%
On even strength, Lowry has a +19.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Graovac shoots left. Lowry is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (575).
Lowry shoots left. Graovac is 30.0% vs left-shot opponents (20).
Home / Away
Lowry
Graovac
Home
49.2% (425)
40.0% (5)
Away
45.3% (426)
23.5% (17)
By Period
Lowry
Graovac
P1
53.6%
20.0%
P2
39.8%
33.3%
P3
48.5%
20.0%
Final 5 min
52.0%
20.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
47.2%
Graovac
48.0%▲
43.5%
27.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2014 | 3 | 11:51 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 3 | 01:51 | Defensive | Tyler Graovac |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 2 | 16:50 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 2 | 14:08 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 1 | 07:59 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |