Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.5% vs Graovac 47.1% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Lowry 59.9%
Defensive zone
Lowry 93.1%
Neutral zone
Lowry 83.3%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 80.2%
80.2%
19.8%
Lowry
Graovac
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
2
(10 meetings)
8
2
Lowry
Graovac
Last 10: Lowry 8-2 Graovac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
1
Lowry
Graovac
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
1
Lowry
Graovac
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
0
Lowry
Graovac
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Graovac
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (9,130)
46.5% (497)
+6.3%
Power Play
57.1% (455)
50.0% (4)
+7.1%
On power play, Lowry has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Graovac shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,740).
Lowry shoots left. Graovac is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (343).
Home / Away
Lowry
Graovac
Home
53.5% (5,893)
47.6% (233)
Away
49.6% (5,831)
45.5% (268)
By Period
Lowry
Graovac
P1
51.5%
41.7%
P2
51.8%
47.4%
P3
51.4%
51.0%
Final 5 min
52.9%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.6%
Graovac
48.0%▲
43.5%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2021 | 3 | 11:13 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| May 11, 2021 | 2 | 14:27 | Offensive | Tyler Graovac |
| May 10, 2021 | 3 | 10:16 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| May 10, 2021 | 2 | 08:54 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| May 10, 2021 | 1 | 03:04 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 3 | 11:51 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 3 | 01:51 | Defensive | Tyler Graovac |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 2 | 16:50 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 2 | 14:08 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 1 | 07:59 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |