Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.4% vs Graovac 47.9% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Graovac 52.6%
Defensive zone
Lowry 83.5%
Neutral zone
Lowry 71.4%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 64.2%
64.2%
35.8%
Lowry
Graovac
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Lowry
Graovac
Last 5: Lowry 4-1 Graovac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Graovac
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Graovac
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
Graovac
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Graovac
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (523)
45.1% (91)
+6.3%
Power Play
56.7% (30)
100.0% (1)
-43.3%
On power play, Graovac has a +43.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Graovac shoots left. Lowry is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (494).
Lowry shoots left. Graovac is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (69).
Home / Away
Lowry
Graovac
Home
50.3% (354)
46.2% (39)
Away
50.7% (361)
45.3% (53)
By Period
Lowry
Graovac
P1
48.5%
39.3%
P2
52.2%
51.4%
P3
50.9%
44.4%
Final 5 min
53.0%
20.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.5%
Graovac
48.0%▲
43.5%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2021 | 3 | 11:13 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| May 11, 2021 | 2 | 14:27 | Offensive | Tyler Graovac |
| May 10, 2021 | 3 | 10:16 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| May 10, 2021 | 2 | 08:54 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| May 10, 2021 | 1 | 03:04 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |