Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +19.2% FO% edge overall. Lowry wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Jost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 55.1% vs Jost 40.7% (+19.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 57.1%
Defensive zone
Lowry 73.8%
Neutral zone
Lowry 73.3%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 73.4%
73.4%
26.6%
Lowry
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Lowry
Jost
Last 5: Lowry 3-2 Jost
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Jost
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Lowry
Jost
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
59.0% (527)
38.5% (200)
+20.5%
Power Play
44.2% (43)
8.3% (12)
+35.9%
Penalty Kill
44.6% (101)
35.3% (17)
+9.3%
On power play, Lowry has a +35.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Lowry is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (401).
Lowry shoots left. Jost is 37.6% vs left-shot opponents (141).
Home / Away
Lowry
Jost
Home
57.9% (330)
40.7% (113)
Away
54.0% (341)
32.8% (116)
By Period
Lowry
Jost
P1
55.8%
30.2%
P2
55.8%
35.1%
P3
56.1%
45.6%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
62.2%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
55.9%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
36.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2018 | 3 | 10:54 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 3 | 10:39 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 2 | 09:31 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |