Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.5% vs Jost 40.5% (+11.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 64.5%
Defensive zone
Lowry 89.7%
Neutral zone
Lowry 84.1%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 86.6%
86.6%
13.4%
Lowry
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Lowry
Jost
Last 9: Lowry 6-3 Jost
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
4
0
Lowry
Jost
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jost
2
3
Lowry
Jost
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (9,130)
41.0% (2,014)
+11.8%
Power Play
57.1% (455)
34.2% (73)
+22.9%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (2,139)
35.3% (255)
+9.6%
On power play, Lowry has a +22.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,740).
Lowry shoots left. Jost is 40.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,466).
Home / Away
Lowry
Jost
Home
53.5% (5,893)
41.9% (1,238)
Away
49.6% (5,831)
38.1% (1,104)
By Period
Lowry
Jost
P1
51.5%
38.5%
P2
51.8%
41.2%
P3
51.4%
40.9%
OT
46.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
52.9%
38.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.6%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
40.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2023 | 2 | 07:51 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 25, 2022 | 3 | 05:05 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 3 | 18:17 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 8, 2019 | 3 | 02:42 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 3 | 10:54 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 3 | 10:39 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 2 | 09:31 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |