Scouting Report
Adam Ruzicka holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Ruzicka wins 42.5% vs right-shot opponents — Kolesar shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ruzicka 48.1% vs Kolesar 48.7% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ruzicka 51.8%
Defensive zone
Ruzicka 62.3%
Neutral zone
Kolesar 54.9%
Result
Keegan Kolesar favored at 54.9%
45.1%
54.9%
Ruzicka
Kolesar
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Ruzicka
Kolesar
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kolesar
0
1
Ruzicka
Kolesar
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ruzicka
Kolesar
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (173)
41.7% (12)
+4.5%
On even strength, Ruzicka has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kolesar shoots right. Ruzicka is 42.5% vs right-shot opponents (80).
Ruzicka shoots left. Kolesar is 30.0% vs left-shot opponents (10).
Home / Away
Ruzicka
Kolesar
Home
39.3% (84)
40.0% (5)
Away
53.5% (99)
40.0% (10)
By Period
Ruzicka
Kolesar
P1
45.8%
33.3%
P2
47.9%
33.3%
P3
47.5%
66.7%
Final 5 min
38.6%
75.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ruzicka
44.0%▼
47.5%
47.0%
Kolesar
40.0%▲
38.0%
40.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2024 | 2 | 17:09 | Neutral | Keegan Kolesar |