Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ruzicka 47.4% vs Eller 50.5% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ruzicka 79.2%
Defensive zone
Eller 50.4%
Neutral zone
Ruzicka 58.4%
Result
Adam Ruzicka favored at 66.7%
66.7%
33.3%
Ruzicka
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Ruzicka
Eller
Last 9: Ruzicka 3-6 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Ruzicka
Eller
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
Ruzicka
Eller
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
1
3
Ruzicka
Eller
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ruzicka
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (580)
51.1% (10,296)
-4.5%
Power Play
55.2% (29)
52.8% (621)
+2.4%
On even strength, Eller has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Ruzicka is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (369).
Ruzicka shoots left. Eller is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,123).
Home / Away
Ruzicka
Eller
Home
44.9% (294)
51.4% (6,118)
Away
48.9% (315)
49.7% (6,578)
By Period
Ruzicka
Eller
P1
46.0%
51.2%
P2
49.1%
50.1%
P3
45.2%
50.2%
Final 5 min
45.5%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ruzicka
44.0%▼
47.5%
47.0%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2022 | 1 | 07:20 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 12:24 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 16:37 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 3 | 18:12 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 3 | 15:43 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 3 | 09:00 | Neutral | Adam Ruzicka |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 3 | 08:50 | Offensive | Adam Ruzicka |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 2 | 17:47 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 2 | 14:35 | Offensive | Adam Ruzicka |