Scouting Report
Morgan Geekie holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Geekie on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Ruzicka wins 44.6% vs right-shot opponents — Geekie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ruzicka 47.4% vs Geekie 48.5% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ruzicka 60.0%
Defensive zone
Ruzicka 60.4%
Neutral zone
Ruzicka 59.0%
Result
Adam Ruzicka favored at 60.0%
60.0%
40.0%
Ruzicka
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Ruzicka
Geekie
Last 8: Ruzicka 2-6 Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Ruzicka
Geekie
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
0
4
Ruzicka
Geekie
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Ruzicka
Geekie
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ruzicka
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (580)
48.8% (2,307)
-2.2%
Power Play
55.2% (29)
45.7% (188)
+9.5%
On power play, Ruzicka has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Ruzicka is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (240).
Ruzicka shoots left. Geekie is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,923).
Home / Away
Ruzicka
Geekie
Home
44.9% (294)
50.0% (1,281)
Away
48.9% (315)
46.8% (1,343)
By Period
Ruzicka
Geekie
P1
46.0%
48.6%
P2
49.1%
48.8%
P3
45.2%
47.7%
Final 5 min
45.5%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ruzicka
44.0%▼
47.5%
47.0%
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2023 | 2 | 05:25 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 1 | 07:59 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 1 | 04:47 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Dec 28, 2022 | 3 | 07:39 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Dec 28, 2022 | 2 | 17:04 | Offensive | Adam Ruzicka |
| Dec 28, 2022 | 2 | 05:51 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 3 | 01:34 | Neutral | Adam Ruzicka |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 12:59 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |