Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Ruzicka wins 44.6% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ruzicka 47.4% vs Thomas 51.6% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ruzicka 62.9%
Defensive zone
Ruzicka 60.5%
Neutral zone
Ruzicka 58.7%
Result
Adam Ruzicka favored at 61.1%
61.1%
38.9%
Ruzicka
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Ruzicka
Thomas
Last 9: Ruzicka 3-6 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
1
2
Ruzicka
Thomas
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
2
3
Ruzicka
Thomas
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
1
Ruzicka
Thomas
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ruzicka
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (580)
51.1% (5,350)
-4.5%
Power Play
55.2% (29)
55.8% (921)
-0.6%
On even strength, Thomas has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Ruzicka is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (240).
Ruzicka shoots left. Thomas is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,919).
Home / Away
Ruzicka
Thomas
Home
44.9% (294)
50.9% (3,458)
Away
48.9% (315)
52.3% (3,504)
By Period
Ruzicka
Thomas
P1
46.0%
50.6%
P2
49.1%
52.9%
P3
45.2%
50.8%
Final 5 min
45.5%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ruzicka
44.0%▼
47.5%
47.0%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2023 | 2 | 03:15 | Defensive | Adam Ruzicka |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 2 | 15:44 | Defensive | Adam Ruzicka |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 1 | 16:30 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 3 | 03:57 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 1 | 11:36 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 1 | 08:18 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 1 | 08:05 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 3 | 19:31 | Offensive | Adam Ruzicka |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 2 | 07:01 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |