Adrian Kempe vs Alexis Lafrenière
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Adrian Kempe holds a +11.7% FO% edge overall. Kempe wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Lafrenière shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 41.7% vs Lafrenière 43.6% (+11.7%)
Offensive zone
Kempe 62.0%
Defensive zone
Lafrenière 52.2%
Neutral zone
Kempe 50.2%
Result
Adrian Kempe favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
Kempe
Lafrenière
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Lafrenière
Edge
Even Strength
38.2% (102)
25.0% (32)
+13.2%
Power Play
30.6% (36)
0.0% (1)
+30.6%
On power play, Kempe has a +30.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafrenière shoots left. Kempe is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (84).
Kempe shoots left. Lafrenière is 29.6% vs left-shot opponents (27).
Home / Away
Kempe
Lafrenière
Home
36.4% (66)
6.7% (15)
Away
35.5% (76)
38.9% (18)
By Period
Kempe
Lafrenière
P1
37.3%
30.0%
P2
36.7%
0.0%
P3
31.4%
28.6%
Final 5 min
40.0%
0.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
35.9%
Lafrenière
22.0%▼
29.0%
24.2%