Scouting Report
Andrew Shaw holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Kempe wins 42.3% vs right-shot opponents — Shaw shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 41.1% vs Shaw 48.2% (-7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kempe 57.6%
Defensive zone
Kempe 56.3%
Neutral zone
Kempe 53.7%
Result
Adrian Kempe favored at 56.3%
56.3%
43.7%
Kempe
Shaw
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Kempe
Shaw
Last 7: Kempe 3-4 Shaw
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
0
2
Kempe
Shaw
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Kempe
Shaw
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kempe
1
0
Kempe
Shaw
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Shaw
Edge
Even Strength
40.3% (1,865)
47.9% (3,088)
-7.6%
Power Play
44.3% (201)
50.9% (407)
-6.6%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (53)
42.1% (57)
+1.3%
On even strength, Shaw has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Shaw shoots right. Kempe is 42.3% vs right-shot opponents (778).
Kempe shoots left. Shaw is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,540).
Home / Away
Kempe
Shaw
Home
42.6% (1,033)
50.3% (1,812)
Away
39.0% (1,086)
45.9% (1,740)
By Period
Kempe
Shaw
P1
39.7%
48.5%
P2
40.2%
47.9%
P3
42.4%
48.2%
OT
37.0%
41.9%
Final 5 min
37.2%
46.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
32.0%▼
37.0%
40.7%
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2019 | 2 | 00:41 | Defensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Mar 5, 2019 | 2 | 11:11 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Oct 26, 2017 | 2 | 14:35 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Oct 26, 2017 | 2 | 06:30 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Oct 18, 2017 | 3 | 12:35 | Defensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Oct 18, 2017 | 3 | 06:48 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Oct 18, 2017 | 3 | 06:27 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |