Scouting Report
Andrew Shaw holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Kempe wins 41.9% vs right-shot opponents — Shaw shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 41.0% vs Shaw 48.2% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kempe 58.7%
Defensive zone
Kempe 54.7%
Neutral zone
Kempe 53.7%
Result
Adrian Kempe favored at 55.7%
55.7%
44.3%
Kempe
Shaw
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Kempe
Shaw
Last 7: Kempe 3-4 Shaw
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
0
2
Kempe
Shaw
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Kempe
Shaw
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kempe
1
0
Kempe
Shaw
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Shaw
Edge
Even Strength
40.2% (1,881)
47.9% (3,088)
-7.7%
Power Play
43.1% (211)
50.9% (407)
-7.8%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (54)
42.1% (57)
+0.5%
On power play, Shaw has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Shaw shoots right. Kempe is 41.9% vs right-shot opponents (790).
Kempe shoots left. Shaw is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,540).
Home / Away
Kempe
Shaw
Home
42.4% (1,045)
50.3% (1,812)
Away
38.8% (1,101)
45.9% (1,740)
By Period
Kempe
Shaw
P1
39.5%
48.5%
P2
40.1%
47.9%
P3
42.2%
48.2%
OT
37.0%
41.9%
Final 5 min
37.2%
46.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
40.5%
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2019 | 2 | 00:41 | Defensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Mar 5, 2019 | 2 | 11:11 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Oct 26, 2017 | 2 | 14:35 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Oct 26, 2017 | 2 | 06:30 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Oct 18, 2017 | 3 | 12:35 | Defensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Oct 18, 2017 | 3 | 06:48 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Oct 18, 2017 | 3 | 06:27 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |