Scouting Report
Andrew Shaw holds a +15.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Shaw on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kempe wins 40.1% vs right-shot opponents — Shaw shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 40.0% vs Shaw 53.3% (-15.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kempe 55.5%
Defensive zone
Kempe 59.4%
Neutral zone
Kempe 54.7%
Result
Adrian Kempe favored at 57.6%
57.6%
42.4%
Kempe
Shaw
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Kempe
Shaw
Last 5: Kempe 2-3 Shaw
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
0
1
Kempe
Shaw
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
1
2
Kempe
Shaw
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kempe
1
0
Kempe
Shaw
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Shaw
Edge
Even Strength
38.1% (607)
51.6% (217)
-13.5%
Power Play
42.1% (76)
61.9% (105)
-19.8%
On power play, Shaw has a +19.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Shaw shoots right. Kempe is 40.1% vs right-shot opponents (269).
Kempe shoots left. Shaw is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (232).
Home / Away
Kempe
Shaw
Home
39.1% (312)
55.2% (163)
Away
38.0% (371)
53.4% (163)
By Period
Kempe
Shaw
P1
39.4%
56.7%
P2
37.7%
50.9%
P3
39.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
30.7%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
38.5%
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2017 | 2 | 14:35 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Oct 26, 2017 | 2 | 06:30 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Oct 18, 2017 | 3 | 12:35 | Defensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Oct 18, 2017 | 3 | 06:48 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Oct 18, 2017 | 3 | 06:27 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |