Scouting Report
Brandon Saad holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Kempe wins 39.7% vs left-shot opponents — Saad shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 41.0% vs Saad 42.8% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kempe 56.6%
Defensive zone
Kempe 63.0%
Neutral zone
Kempe 59.5%
Result
Adrian Kempe favored at 61.2%
61.2%
38.8%
Kempe
Saad
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Kempe
Saad
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Saad
0
1
Kempe
Saad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Saad
0
1
Kempe
Saad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Saad
Edge
Even Strength
40.2% (1,881)
40.6% (532)
-0.4%
Power Play
43.1% (211)
49.6% (113)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (54)
38.2% (68)
+4.4%
On power play, Saad has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Saad shoots left. Kempe is 39.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,356).
Kempe shoots left. Saad is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (435).
Home / Away
Kempe
Saad
Home
42.4% (1,045)
42.5% (367)
Away
38.8% (1,101)
41.0% (346)
By Period
Kempe
Saad
P1
39.5%
41.7%
P2
40.1%
41.2%
P3
42.2%
43.1%
OT
37.0%
36.4%
Final 5 min
37.2%
38.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
40.5%
Saad
28.0%▼
38.0%
41.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2019 | 2 | 15:44 | Neutral | Brandon Saad |
| Nov 16, 2018 | 1 | 17:39 | Defensive | Brandon Saad |