Scouting Report
Brandon Saad holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Kempe wins 39.8% vs left-shot opponents — Saad shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 41.1% vs Saad 42.8% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kempe 52.5%
Defensive zone
Kempe 60.9%
Neutral zone
Kempe 56.7%
Result
Adrian Kempe favored at 58.8%
58.8%
41.2%
Kempe
Saad
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Kempe
Saad
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Saad
0
1
Kempe
Saad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Saad
0
1
Kempe
Saad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Saad
Edge
Even Strength
40.3% (1,865)
40.6% (529)
-0.3%
Power Play
44.3% (201)
49.6% (113)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (53)
38.2% (68)
+5.2%
On power play, Saad has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Saad shoots left. Kempe is 39.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,341).
Kempe shoots left. Saad is 42.7% vs left-shot opponents (433).
Home / Away
Kempe
Saad
Home
42.6% (1,033)
42.5% (367)
Away
39.0% (1,086)
41.1% (343)
By Period
Kempe
Saad
P1
39.7%
41.9%
P2
40.2%
41.2%
P3
42.4%
43.1%
OT
37.0%
36.4%
Final 5 min
37.2%
38.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
32.0%▼
37.0%
40.7%
Saad
28.0%▼
37.5%
41.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2019 | 2 | 15:44 | Neutral | Brandon Saad |
| Nov 16, 2018 | 1 | 17:39 | Defensive | Brandon Saad |