Scouting Report
Brandon Sutter holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Sutter on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 46.2% vs Sutter 54.0% (-10.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kempe 83.4%
Defensive zone
Kempe 78.3%
Neutral zone
Kempe 78.8%
Result
Adrian Kempe favored at 80.2%
80.2%
19.8%
Kempe
Sutter
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Kempe
Sutter
Last 6: Kempe 1-5 Sutter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
0
2
Kempe
Sutter
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
0
1
Kempe
Sutter
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sutter
1
2
Kempe
Sutter
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Sutter
Edge
Even Strength
44.3% (131)
54.6% (1,088)
-10.3%
Power Play
30.8% (13)
59.3% (150)
-28.5%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (9)
49.1% (214)
+6.5%
On power play, Sutter has a +28.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sutter shoots right. Kempe is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (65).
Kempe shoots left. Sutter is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,013).
Home / Away
Kempe
Sutter
Home
49.6% (113)
55.0% (714)
Away
27.5% (40)
53.5% (738)
By Period
Kempe
Sutter
P1
43.9%
54.3%
P2
44.0%
53.1%
P3
43.5%
54.8%
Final 5 min
37.1%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
43.8%
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2017 | 3 | 16:19 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 31, 2017 | 1 | 10:37 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 31, 2017 | 1 | 02:21 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 4, 2017 | 1 | 11:43 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Mar 4, 2017 | 1 | 11:37 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 4, 2017 | 1 | 07:52 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |