Scouting Report
Brandon Sutter holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Sutter on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Kempe wins 41.9% vs right-shot opponents — Sutter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 41.0% vs Sutter 50.2% (-9.7%)
H2H factor
Sutter leads 12-7 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Kempe 93.3%
Defensive zone
Kempe 62.8%
Neutral zone
Kempe 87.1%
Result
Adrian Kempe favored at 83.3%
83.3%
16.7%
Kempe
Sutter
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
12
(19 meetings)
7
12
Kempe
Sutter
Last 10: Kempe 6-4 Sutter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Kempe
Sutter
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
0
4
Kempe
Sutter
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sutter
5
6
Kempe
Sutter
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Sutter
Edge
Even Strength
40.2% (1,881)
50.9% (7,610)
-10.7%
Power Play
43.1% (211)
52.8% (627)
-9.7%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (54)
46.4% (1,797)
-3.8%
On even strength, Sutter has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sutter shoots right. Kempe is 41.9% vs right-shot opponents (790).
Kempe shoots left. Sutter is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (6,698).
Home / Away
Kempe
Sutter
Home
42.4% (1,045)
50.6% (5,050)
Away
38.8% (1,101)
49.8% (5,033)
By Period
Kempe
Sutter
P1
39.5%
48.7%
P2
40.1%
50.3%
P3
42.2%
51.5%
OT
37.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
37.2%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
40.5%
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2019 | 3 | 18:49 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Oct 30, 2019 | 3 | 15:46 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Oct 30, 2019 | 3 | 00:55 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Oct 9, 2019 | 1 | 05:26 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Mar 12, 2018 | 3 | 17:43 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Mar 12, 2018 | 1 | 15:34 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 1 | 19:39 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 1 | 03:50 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Nov 14, 2017 | 3 | 12:29 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Nov 14, 2017 | 3 | 04:12 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Nov 14, 2017 | 3 | 04:07 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Nov 14, 2017 | 2 | 19:16 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Nov 14, 2017 | 1 | 05:18 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 31, 2017 | 3 | 16:19 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 31, 2017 | 1 | 10:37 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 31, 2017 | 1 | 02:21 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 4, 2017 | 1 | 11:43 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Mar 4, 2017 | 1 | 11:37 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 4, 2017 | 1 | 07:52 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |