Scouting Report
Brayden Schenn holds a +17.7% FO% edge overall. Kempe wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Schenn shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 41.7% vs Schenn 53.2% (-17.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kempe 54.0%
Defensive zone
Schenn 66.4%
Neutral zone
Schenn 60.1%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 56.2%
43.8%
56.2%
Kempe
Schenn
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Kempe
Schenn
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kempe
1
0
Kempe
Schenn
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
0
1
Kempe
Schenn
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Schenn
Edge
Even Strength
38.2% (102)
51.2% (613)
-13.0%
Power Play
30.6% (36)
63.6% (107)
-33.0%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
72.7% (22)
-47.7%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +47.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schenn shoots left. Kempe is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (84).
Kempe shoots left. Schenn is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (463).
Home / Away
Kempe
Schenn
Home
36.4% (66)
54.0% (367)
Away
35.5% (76)
53.3% (375)
By Period
Kempe
Schenn
P1
37.3%
48.6%
P2
36.7%
52.0%
P3
31.4%
59.0%
OT
42.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
40.0%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
35.9%
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 01:11 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 1 | 12:43 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |