Scouting Report
Brett Howden holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Howden on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kempe wins 39.7% vs left-shot opponents — Howden shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 41.0% vs Howden 49.0% (-8.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kempe 87.1%
Defensive zone
Kempe 61.0%
Neutral zone
Kempe 75.5%
Result
Adrian Kempe favored at 74.7%
74.7%
25.3%
Kempe
Howden
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Kempe
Howden
Last 7: Kempe 2-5 Howden
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kempe
Howden
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kempe
Howden
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Howden
0
3
Kempe
Howden
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Howden
Edge
Even Strength
40.2% (1,881)
49.6% (2,905)
-9.4%
Power Play
43.1% (211)
50.5% (111)
-7.4%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (54)
43.2% (315)
-0.6%
On even strength, Howden has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Howden shoots left. Kempe is 39.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,356).
Kempe shoots left. Howden is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,152).
Home / Away
Kempe
Howden
Home
42.4% (1,045)
48.4% (1,608)
Away
38.8% (1,101)
49.6% (1,723)
By Period
Kempe
Howden
P1
39.5%
49.5%
P2
40.1%
48.0%
P3
42.2%
49.9%
OT
37.0%
39.3%
Final 5 min
37.2%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
40.5%
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2018 | 3 | 10:45 | Defensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Oct 28, 2018 | 3 | 10:28 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Oct 28, 2018 | 2 | 13:14 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Oct 28, 2018 | 2 | 07:25 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Oct 28, 2018 | 2 | 01:39 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Oct 28, 2018 | 1 | 13:49 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Oct 28, 2018 | 1 | 10:46 | Offensive | Brett Howden |