Scouting Report
Brett Howden holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Howden on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kempe wins 39.8% vs left-shot opponents — Howden shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 41.1% vs Howden 49.0% (-8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kempe 82.9%
Defensive zone
Kempe 54.1%
Neutral zone
Kempe 69.3%
Result
Adrian Kempe favored at 68.9%
68.9%
31.1%
Kempe
Howden
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Kempe
Howden
Last 7: Kempe 2-5 Howden
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kempe
Howden
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kempe
Howden
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Howden
0
3
Kempe
Howden
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Howden
Edge
Even Strength
40.3% (1,865)
49.6% (2,882)
-9.3%
Power Play
44.3% (201)
50.0% (104)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (53)
42.9% (310)
+0.5%
On even strength, Howden has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Howden shoots left. Kempe is 39.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,341).
Kempe shoots left. Howden is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,137).
Home / Away
Kempe
Howden
Home
42.6% (1,033)
48.4% (1,587)
Away
39.0% (1,086)
49.6% (1,709)
By Period
Kempe
Howden
P1
39.7%
49.7%
P2
40.2%
47.7%
P3
42.4%
49.9%
OT
37.0%
39.3%
Final 5 min
37.2%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
32.0%▼
37.0%
40.7%
Howden
34.0%▼
48.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2018 | 3 | 10:45 | Defensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Oct 28, 2018 | 3 | 10:28 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Oct 28, 2018 | 2 | 13:14 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Oct 28, 2018 | 2 | 07:25 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Oct 28, 2018 | 2 | 01:39 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Oct 28, 2018 | 1 | 13:49 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Oct 28, 2018 | 1 | 10:46 | Offensive | Brett Howden |