Scouting Report
Brett Howden holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Howden on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kempe wins 42.3% vs left-shot opponents — Howden shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 43.5% vs Howden 48.6% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kempe 78.5%
Defensive zone
Kempe 66.5%
Neutral zone
Kempe 68.8%
Result
Adrian Kempe favored at 70.9%
70.9%
29.1%
Kempe
Howden
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Kempe
Howden
Last 7: Kempe 2-5 Howden
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kempe
Howden
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kempe
Howden
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Howden
0
3
Kempe
Howden
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Howden
Edge
Even Strength
42.6% (671)
48.3% (631)
-5.7%
Power Play
42.0% (50)
60.0% (40)
-18.0%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (18)
41.4% (58)
+3.0%
On power play, Howden has a +18.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Howden shoots left. Kempe is 42.3% vs left-shot opponents (487).
Kempe shoots left. Howden is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (480).
Home / Away
Kempe
Howden
Home
43.6% (369)
52.0% (304)
Away
41.6% (370)
45.9% (425)
By Period
Kempe
Howden
P1
40.0%
48.7%
P2
44.3%
48.1%
P3
43.6%
49.0%
OT
37.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
43.6%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
42.6%
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2018 | 3 | 10:45 | Defensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Oct 28, 2018 | 3 | 10:28 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Oct 28, 2018 | 2 | 13:14 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Oct 28, 2018 | 2 | 07:25 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Oct 28, 2018 | 2 | 01:39 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Oct 28, 2018 | 1 | 13:49 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Oct 28, 2018 | 1 | 10:46 | Offensive | Brett Howden |