Scouting Report
Adrian Kempe holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Kempe wins 26.1% vs right-shot opponents — Ritchie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 43.7% vs Ritchie 40.3% (+1.7%)
Offensive zone
Kempe 51.1%
Defensive zone
Ritchie 56.6%
Neutral zone
Ritchie 53.7%
Result
Calum Ritchie favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Kempe
Ritchie
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Ritchie
Edge
Even Strength
39.5% (86)
36.3% (251)
+3.2%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
45.5% (11)
-10.9%
On power play, Ritchie has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ritchie shoots right. Kempe is 26.1% vs right-shot opponents (46).
Kempe shoots left. Ritchie is 35.4% vs left-shot opponents (164).
Home / Away
Kempe
Ritchie
Home
38.9% (54)
37.2% (148)
Away
37.7% (61)
36.0% (114)
By Period
Kempe
Ritchie
P1
40.5%
34.5%
P2
38.5%
35.8%
P3
33.3%
39.8%
Final 5 min
40.9%
43.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
32.0%▼
37.0%
38.3%
Ritchie
22.0%▼
36.0%
36.6%