Scouting Report
Carl Soderberg holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Soderberg on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kempe wins 37.4% vs left-shot opponents — Soderberg shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 40.0% vs Soderberg 45.7% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kempe 98.0%
Defensive zone
Kempe 56.2%
Neutral zone
Kempe 83.9%
Result
Adrian Kempe favored at 67.3%
67.3%
32.7%
Kempe
Soderberg
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Kempe
Soderberg
Last 5: Kempe 0-5 Soderberg
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Soderberg
0
3
Kempe
Soderberg
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Soderberg
0
2
Kempe
Soderberg
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Soderberg
Edge
Even Strength
38.1% (607)
46.9% (682)
-8.8%
Power Play
42.1% (76)
43.8% (64)
-1.7%
On even strength, Soderberg has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Soderberg shoots left. Kempe is 37.4% vs left-shot opponents (414).
Kempe shoots left. Soderberg is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (578).
Home / Away
Kempe
Soderberg
Home
39.1% (312)
50.2% (484)
Away
38.0% (371)
40.0% (455)
By Period
Kempe
Soderberg
P1
39.4%
45.5%
P2
37.7%
44.3%
P3
39.0%
45.8%
OT
25.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
30.7%
42.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
38.5%
Soderberg
56.0%▲
51.0%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2018 | 2 | 04:31 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Apr 2, 2018 | 1 | 03:54 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Dec 21, 2017 | 3 | 15:01 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Dec 21, 2017 | 1 | 04:26 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Dec 21, 2017 | 1 | 00:35 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |