Scouting Report
Chris Tierney holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Tierney on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Kempe wins 39.7% vs left-shot opponents — Tierney shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 41.0% vs Tierney 49.1% (-8.6%)
H2H factor
Tierney leads 9-9 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Kempe 72.5%
Defensive zone
Tierney 78.2%
Neutral zone
Tierney 52.5%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Kempe
Tierney
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
9
(18 meetings)
9
9
Kempe
Tierney
Last 10: Kempe 5-5 Tierney
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
2
3
Kempe
Tierney
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kempe
3
2
Kempe
Tierney
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Kempe
Tierney
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Tierney
Edge
Even Strength
40.2% (1,881)
49.3% (5,342)
-9.1%
Power Play
43.1% (211)
52.3% (342)
-9.2%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (54)
46.6% (857)
-4.0%
On power play, Tierney has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tierney shoots left. Kempe is 39.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,356).
Kempe shoots left. Tierney is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (4,137).
Home / Away
Kempe
Tierney
Home
42.4% (1,045)
50.6% (3,270)
Away
38.8% (1,101)
47.7% (3,271)
By Period
Kempe
Tierney
P1
39.5%
49.3%
P2
40.1%
47.7%
P3
42.2%
50.5%
OT
37.0%
47.4%
Final 5 min
37.2%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
40.5%
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2019 | 3 | 10:04 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 3 | 08:06 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 2 | 12:56 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 1 | 09:47 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 2 | 00:53 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 1 | 09:22 | Defensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 1 | 00:53 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 3 | 12:13 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 15, 2018 | 2 | 07:51 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Jan 15, 2018 | 1 | 15:21 | Defensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 3 | 15:50 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 3 | 07:35 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 3 | 04:43 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Nov 12, 2017 | 3 | 04:22 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Nov 12, 2017 | 2 | 19:25 | Defensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 2 | 01:37 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |