Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.0% vs 49.7%). Kempe wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Tierney shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 50.0% vs Tierney 49.8% (+0.3%)
Offensive zone
Kempe 62.2%
Defensive zone
Tierney 68.2%
Neutral zone
Tierney 56.4%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 54.1%
45.9%
54.1%
Kempe
Tierney
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Tierney
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (36)
50.4% (454)
-3.2%
Power Play
77.8% (9)
48.3% (58)
+29.5%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
36.8% (19)
-16.8%
On power play, Kempe has a +29.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tierney shoots left. Kempe is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (35).
Kempe shoots left. Tierney is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (315).
Home / Away
Kempe
Tierney
Home
60.0% (25)
53.3% (289)
Away
40.0% (25)
45.5% (242)
By Period
Kempe
Tierney
P1
57.9%
50.9%
P2
40.0%
46.7%
P3
50.0%
52.1%
Final 5 min
30.0%
44.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
50.0%
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
49.7%